Economics Indicators

January 24th, 2012 No Comments   Posted in Uncategorized

Four Key Indicators of the Markets

Lots of economic surveys and economic indicators are examined and described in the business news every week. Generally, the amount of data is so large and differs so slightly, that it is very easy to underestimate the value of this data in the context of market. On the other hand, any experienced investor must constantly monitor all changes in the economy. That is why it is vital to take economic indicators into account. Here you will find the description of the most important economic indicators, which play a certain part in economy and the market. Knowing this information will allow you to predict and react to development of the market in future

First Economic Indicator – Employment

Employment is probably the most important economic indicator, because it points to healthy or unhealthy economy. The U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics releases its monthly unemployment report and nonfarm payroll on the first Friday of each month. Basing on these reports, you can find out the amount of gained or lost jobs in the United States and the current unemployment rate. These reports contain valuable information for market participants, who await them impatiently. As a rule, release of unemployment report and nonfarm payroll causes considerable one-day movements in stock and bond markets. Moreover, these reports influences other important economic indicators, for example, consumer sentiment and consumer confidence.

The overall prosperity of the economy largely depends on the state of the labor market, because about 70 percent of economic activity of the United States fall to the consumers. As you can see, if something happens with labor market, it will immediately influence the economy. For instance, corporate profits become lower when the labor market is weak. Logical conclusion is that if a man doesn’t have a job, he has no possibility to buy homes or other things that lay in the basis of corporate profits.

Second Economic Indicator – Inflation

The Federal Reserve should positively influence the economy and provide price stability and economic growth. In order to measure price stability special rate of change in inflation is used, and inflation reports are released every month. These reports help market participants to be in touch with the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve and allow them to determine the future course this policy.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most prominent economic indicator of inflation among many other indicators. The “job” of CPI is to take measurements of consumer prices changes and form a theoretical conclusion, which includes information about to what extent life is becoming more expensive for the average consumer. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is another widely known indicator, which takes measurements of the rate of change in inflation for producer goods. The more these prices are, the higher a probability of price increases in the consumer sphere is. As a rule, only CPI and PPI indicators are analyzed by economists without taking into account energy and food; volatility of these spheres is widely known.

There are several key commodities, which are constantly monitored by market participants, too. For example, it is oil. Oil is a very important resource for economy of many countries, so it is worth paying some attention to its price. If the price of oil becomes higher, offsetting effects may arise. On the other hand, the higher the price of oil becomes, the higher prices of other products may arise, too. All is due to the fact that oil is a component of many materials. Moreover, the price of oil influences the cost of transportation of other products for sale.

Corporate valuation can be easily done with the help of inflation, as the rate of inflation is the discount rate to perform discounted cash flow analysis factors. The higher inflation is, the higher discount rate is and the lower project value is. But then deflation comes into action; it is a very dangerous process, because low profit forces companies to perform lay-offs or other cutbacks because of not having a possibility to maintain their full workforce.

Third Economic Indicator – Consumer Activity

The level of stock prices and profit of corporations depend directly on consumer activity changes. You can receive very valuable information about economy only by analyzing data about where and what people buy. Consumer activity can be measured by means of several methods.

As a rule, consumer confidence is measured by market participants. It is one of the most popular techniques. Again, consumer confidence can be measured by means of several methods, all of which are intended to determine attitude of consumers towards their economic prospect in the nearest future. Everything is simple in theory: the more confidence people have, the more money they are ready to spend and vice versa. There is another tendency in the forward looking market: by analyzing stock prices, you can draw a picture of future consumer opinions, but you can do in today. Retail sales are among other measurement methods of consumer activity. Retail sales allow you to review shopping patterns of the past, while consumer confidence is forward looking.

Another important economic indicator is the housing market. In spite of being highly localized and difficult to measure on a national basis, housing data still can be processed by several indicators. In order to get information about housing market activity level, market participants monitor different monthly releases, including building permits, housing starts and new home sales. Price changes are also under vigilant surveillance of market participants, who use different indicators in order to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy, including the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. This indicator is meant to monitoring of home price changes in twenty major cities of the USA. Market participants use many different housing reports in order to find out if people are going to make large purchases or not.

Fourth Economic Indicator – Investor Activity

Market participants measure not only economic indicators, but also investor activity, too. It helps them to get more information about the state the market. People believe that the best time to invest is to wait until everyone is bullish. In reality, it is not true, and, despite popular belief, it is better to make investments when the majority of investors are bearish. In case the bullish tendency prevails among everyone else, no one will buy anything and, therefore, prices won’t become higher (of course, it depends on your investment strategy). It means that it is very important to take investor sentiment into account. There are a lot of indicators available for this purpose. Several indicators are created by big investment or research companies, which perform polls among their from time to time in order to draw market consensus

Another important direction of activity measurement is overseas investors. They have become very important for the financial markets of America and attracted attention to their activities. The purchase of U.S. Treasuries by foreign central banks is included in one of the most actual reports out there. The following tendency arises: central banks buy more Treasuries, interest rates become lower and stock prices become higher. The reverse tendency is also possible: central banks buy less Treasuries, interest rates become higher and stock prices become lower.

The number of new highs/lows and advance/decline ratios are among other vital market indicators. Basing on these indicators, market participants can draw conclusions about health of the overall stock market and market advance/decline “quality”.

Conclusion

The information about different indicators, which influence markets, is not enough for winning the battle. The second and the most important part is interpretation of the data of indicators and decision about their possible market impact. The trend in the indicator and the market’s expectation for that indicator are other two important factors, which should be taken into account along with the absolute level of an indicator. All these factors altogether can give you idea about reaction of the market to a given economic or market report, so you should learn to monitor financial markets carefully and interpret these reports correctly. You should work hard and be persistent, and only then you will be able to react to economic and market data with due determination.

©2012 http://iticsoftware.com

Wolfe Wave Indicator

Wolfe Wave Explanation

The Wolfe Wave is a natural pattern found in the forex market. Its basic shape shows a fight for balance, or equilibrium, between supply and demand. This naturally occurring pattern was not invented, but rather discovered as a means to predicting levels of supply and demand.

These patterns are very versatile in terms of time, but they are specific in terms of scope. For instance, Wolfe Waves occur in a wide range of time frames, over minutes or even as long as weeks or months, depending on the channel. On the other hand, the scope can be predicted with amazing accuracy. For this reason, when correctly exploited, Wolfe Waves can be extremely effective.

To identify Wolfe waves, they must have the following characteristics:

Waves 3-4 must stay within the channel created by 1-2
Wave 1-2 equals waves 3-4 (shows symmetry)
Wave 4 is within the channel created by waves 1-2
There is regular time between all waves
Wave 5 exceeds trend line created by waves 1 and 3 and is the entry point

The estimated price is a price along the trend line created by waves 1 and 4

Wolfe Wave Indicators Comparison

We have analyze several Wolfe Wave Metatrader 4 indicators. All Wolfe Wave Metatrader 4 indicators based on ZigZag. BJF Trading Group Wolfe Wave Metatrader 4 Indicator can recognize all Wolfe wave paterns on specified time range. It checks every top for potential 1,2,3,4,5 points not only ZigZag tops.

wolfe wave


Use of the Hurst Exponent in Technical Analysis

There are many reasonable questions, which may arise during forex trading, and one of them concerns the possibility to predict a given financial time series in advance; you should decide whether it is worth trying to forecast its development and model the data.

The Hurst Exponent allows to estimate the time series predictability and express it numerically. In other words, the Hurst Exponent allows you to understand whether a time series has a tendency to regress to a longer term mean value, or it has a tendency to “cluster” in a direction.

The algorithm of the Hurst Exponent is based on the hypothesis that the time series is a pure fractal, but it is not always right in most cases. Therefore, this is the reason of the Hurst Exponent being an estimate and not a definitive measure.

Anyway, everything abovesaid is not very important. The main advantage of the Hurst Exponent in technical analysis is the possibility to use the Hurst Exponent as a tool for classification of time series in terms of predictability.

Explanation of the Hurst Exponent

The Hurst Exponent values lie in range between 0 and 1.

•    If a Hurst Exponent value H is close to 0.5, it means that there is a fractional Brownian motion time series or a random walk. There is no correlation between current and future elements in a random walk, therefore, the probability of future return values moving in one of directions (up or down) makes approximately 50%. As you see, prediction of such type of time series is almost impossible.
•    If a Hurst Exponent value H lies between 0 and 0.5, it means that there is a so-called “anti-persistent” time series. In this case a decrease will occur after an increase, and vice versa. In other words, you may call such behavior “mean reversion”; in this case, future values will tend to return to a longer term mean value. The closer H is to 0, the stronger this “mean reversion” is.
•    If a Hurst Exponent value H lies between 0.5 and 1, it means that there is a so-called “persistent” or trending time series. It means that in case of decreases (or increase) in the time interval from [t-1] to [t] there is a high probability of decreases (or increase) in the time interval from [t] to [t+1]. It means that an increase will follow an increase, and a decrease will follow a decrease. The closer H is to 1, the stronger the trend is. Persistent time series are the best time series for prediction in comparison to the previous two categories.

It should be mentioned that there is a difference between volatility and the Hurst Exponent. For example, an index or a fund can have an H close to 0.5 and a relative low volatility at the same time. As a rule, mature markets are less predictable and more efficient than emerging markets, and that is why they very often have Hurst Exponents closer to 0.5.

So, you can use the Hurst Exponent for classification of time series, and it is a very useful ability, for example, for making a list of stocks with greater short term predictability. For instance, you could make a list of stocks with particular Hurst Exponent values, and then examine and study their profit generating characteristics. You could close all investment positions in a particular stock, if its Hurst Exponent dropped below a certain threshold value.

You also can use the Hurst Exponent in combination with neural networks or technical indicators. In this case the Hurst Exponent will help you to make priorities and decide which assets to ignore and which ones to forecast.

About the Hurst Exponent

The Hurst Exponent occurs in several areas of applied mathematics, including fractals and chaos theory, long memory processes and spectral analysis. Hurst Exponent estimation has been applied in areas ranging from biophysics to computer networking.

The direct connection of the Hurst Exponent to the fractal dimension of a process allows to measure the roughness of the process. For instance the roughness of coastlines has been measured by means of the fractal dimension. There are other areas of application of the fractal dimension: measurement of neuronal growth in medicine, the simulation of mountains in computer graphics, and mold colony’s boundaries measurement in biology

As a rule, the Hurst Exponent is not calculated, but estimated by means of several different techniques. From the other hand, assessment of the accuracy of the estimation is not a simple task. The Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle also limits fidelity and accuracy of H.

The estimation of the Hurst Exponent can be done by means of calculating the average rescaled range (R/S) over multiple overlapping regions of the data. As a rule, it is possible to use only regions with lengths larger than 31. The results of such approach are quite robust, standard deviations are small, but there is a negative side, too: the estimated value is a bit biased.

Manual forex trading strategy based on Hurst Exponent

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New AO Forex Divergence Indicator

Awesome Oscillator Forex Divergence Indicator

Bill Williams’ Awesome Oscillator (AO) is designed to show current market momentum and is displayed as a histogram. The Awesome Oscillator is created using the difference between the 34-period and 5-period simple moving averages of the bar’s midpoints (H+L)/2.

Each bar of the histogram that is higher than the preceding bar is green. Each bar that is lower than the preceding bar is red.

This indicator is intended to show what’s happening to the market for the current period (compared to the momentum of a longer period), and some traders use its signals for buying and selling decisions.

Forex Divergence Awesome Oscillator shows divergence areas on indicator and arrows on chart.

forex divergence

Learn more about Forex Divergence Indicators

BJF Trading Group inc.

http://iticsoftware.com

Metatrader Indicator OBV Divergence Generation 3

OBV Metatrader Indicator

OBV indicator will  detect when a currency  is being accumulated by a large number of buyers or sold by many sellers.

Calculation:

If today’s close is greater than yesterday’s close then:

OBV(i) = OBV(i-1)+VOLUME(i)

If today’s close is less than yesterday’s close then:

OBV(i) = OBV(i-1)-VOLUME(i)

If today’s close is equal to yesterday’s close then:

OBV(i) = OBV(i-1)

Where:

OBV(i) — is the indicator value of the current period;OBV(i-1) — is the indicator value of the previous period;
VOLUME(i) — is the volume of the current bar.

obv forex divergence

Metatrader Indicator OBV Divergence

Very strong signal for open position is fractal divergence between OBV and price.  Divergence is disagreement between the indicator and price.  Metatrader Indicator OBV Divergence Generation 3 detects fractal divergence and shows on divergence zone on graph and indicator. This metatrader indicator based on new optimized and reliable algorithm to detect divergence patterns. Indicator does not repaint and arrows painted above/below the open bar and not in the past. The indicator shows a high percentage of correct signals at the period of flat market. Also with high probability we can determine the beginning and end of the trend.

BJF Trading Group inc.

http://iticsoftware.com

metatrader indicators

Metatrader Indicator Building Essentials

Knowing all of the essentials for building a forex indicator is important, especially if you really want as much use out of it as possible. There are many people who have built these indicators to help with the everyday tasks involved in trading in the foreign exchange market. When you have a Metatrader indicator, you will be able to take into consideration all of the different environmental and fundamental factors that can affect your trades, and therefore how much risk you are taking. The charts involved in this type of building will give you vital information, which can ultimately be used to analyze certain market trends, and give you valuable information that you would otherwise not have.

The basic idea behind these types of indicators is that with the right one, you will be able to see future directions that price movements will take. This in turn will give you a nice edge on everyone else who is not able to predict such things, and make decisions on trades accordingly. However, prices can only be predicted within a certain period of time, and it depends on a number of factors which can easily change the course of things. There are a few key things that traders try to predict when it comes to prices. One of these things is the support and resistance levels.

One of the reasons that support and resistance levels are so important is because they are the areas which determine whether or not a certain price changes direction. Time is something else that traders attempt to predict, and not always successfully. Your whole goal of building such an indicator is to predict the general direction a price is headed under certain conditions. There are all of the different kinds of indicators, each of them different in their own way. There is almost always an indicator present which represents momentum levels that are crucial for you to examine when trying to make predictions on where prices are headed.

When it comes to making accurate predictions, you have two different choices with regards to indicators. There are hybrid and unique indicators, each serving their own unique purpose. If you want to develop a unique indicator, you will need to know that they can only be created with core element chart analysis. If you want a hybrid indicator, then you will want to keep in mind that you will be able to use both existing indicators and certain core elements.

Those who want to build a unique indicator will want to consider all of the different components involved, starting with the patterns. The purpose of these is to repeat price sequences of a certain period of time. You will find that most Metatrader indicators use patterns as a way of showing where future prices are going. Another component of these indicators is mathematical functions. They have a very important role in averaging prices and also doing more complex things. It’s important to consider all of these things, so you will have a good idea as to how to go about building your indicator.

BJF Trading Group inc.

http://iticsoftware.com

Principles of basing a Trading Strategy on Divergence Metatrader Indicators

We’ve already described the concept of divergence and how we offer to define it in the article. That’s why let’s skip the definition.

In my opinion, there is no indicator that could precisely (100%) predict behavior of the market. Divergence is quite a strong signal, but I wouldn’t make a decision basing only on one indicator. If you test divergence indicators in visual mode, you can notice that indicator predicts behavior of price to high precision (up to 90%) in some areas. But at the same time the number of false entries is high enough in other areas.

Almost all divergence metatrader indicators show divergence of oscillator and price, and almost all oscillators work well during a flat market and have high inaccuracy if there is a trend. It is not difficult to understand that divergence metatrader indicators give more precise signals during a flat market. We’ve received many letters with such questions: “What is the best divergence indicator and what currency and timeframe you recommend to use it for?” On the basis of aforesaid you can make a conclusion that there is no unambiguous answer on such questions. So, how to use divergence indicators correctly?

There are many methods, but I would like to offer a technique, developed by me several years ago. You should choose several currencies for trade, preferably with low currency correlation. The number of currencies depends only on your experience and attentiveness. For starters, we should find out the phase of the market on the given currency: flat or trend. There are many techniques in the case of using divergence and in the case of determining the phase of the market, and I don’t know which one is the best. But, in my opinion, you can precisely determine the phase of the market, only analyzing several timeframes.

For example, m15  H1  H4 D1 timeframes. You can either make visual analysis or use indicators. We’ve developed HeikenAshi MultiTF and Trend MultiTF indicators, which are perfect for this purpose,

ha metatrader indicator

Pic. 1 Metatrader Indicator HeikenAshi MultiTF

but you can also use oscillators (RVI, PowerRvi, etc.)

PowerRVI metatrader indicator

Pic.2 PowerRVI Metatrader Indicator

and analyze their direction in all timeframes; if directions coincide in higher timeframes, then it is possible to say with high probability that we are in the phase of trend. If oscillators are pointed towards each other, the market is in the phase of flat.

Having analyzed all currencies, selected for trade, we choose currencies, which are in the phase of flat. Divergence metatrader indicators signals on these currencies will be more precise. We can also use divergence indicators on trend currencies, but we will ignore the signals, directed against the trend. Signals, directed along the trend, will show you exit points of currency from retracements.

BJF Trading Group inc.

http://iticsoftware.com

Metatrader Indicators – What Indicators Are Available?

Summary: You will have to experience Metratrader before knowing the indicator. This article states all the important indicators obtained in this program.

You should know that Metatrader Expert Advisor is a great tool in dealing with forex market trades. This program helps you in the way that it contains indicators that provide you the necessary information on whether to buy or to sell that particular currency. Here are some important indicators that greatly assist you in forex trading.
The Metatrader indicator will be BB MACD. It is a combination of Bollinger Band and Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator that predicts the market trend. You can also determine the strength of the trend by looking at the gap between the 2 bands. The concept of this indicator is based on standard deviation and moving averages.
The next Metatrader indicator will be BMA or Band Moving Average in full. This indicator is used save the older Metatrader moving average’s function. 2 bands are added to the standard line at both 2% below and above it. These lines function as the strong-pull back levels.
Fisher is also another indicator available in the software. This indicator is used to find the maximum and the minimum levels on the given period. In other words, it looks on the potential of the trades within the period desired. This indicator is created based on custom algorithms and it uses histogram to outline the trend.
Pattern recognition master also plays as a very important role in becoming an indicator. It is based on Japanese candlestick recognition automatically. The candle is marked with respect with the code written and the pattern shows corresponding to the markings. It is used to find the signal value of the pattern recognized.
Apart from that, price alert is also one of the important indicators. Price alert notifies you the changes in price of various currencies through sound. Once there is a change, a sound will beep and you can look at which currency is changing. In case you don’t trust the trading method, use this for manual trading.

Improve FX Profitability with Multi Timeframe Trading Forex Indicator

There are several traders across the globe who choose to have only one time frame while they are trading in the forex market. When they emerge to be profitable, they are contented with the situation. However, if you are a trader and you want to increase your success, it would make much more sense if you make use of two or more time frames for your trading decisions. Why? This is for the reason that basing entries and exits with a single time frame will make you oblivious to the broader trend. Therefore, you will risk trading for the longer term trend even when you are using any type of forex indicator.

To make it simpler, we will have an example. If both the four hour and one hour charts for a currency pair show that there is a sturdy bullish trend, it is definitely not a good idea for a trader to look for potential shorts using the 15 minute chart. A forex indicator will be able to guide you on how you are going to make the right decisions for your trade. Thus, you should always trade in the direction of the market. Using a forex indicator with a longer time frame will help the traders buy and sell for the trend’s longer term. You can time your trades using the forex indicator so that the trend will become your friend.

As a classic approach, the trader will have to choose his preferred time interval and later, he will apply the necessary forex indicator and other tools during this time frame. However, many doubt about this and they raise several questions not only with the use of the multi timeframe forex indicator but the whole strategy as well.

The questions raised include which among the intervals should be used along with the length of the period from which the time frame will work. There are several other queries but they are often solved using multi time frame Metatrader indicator optimization. There are options here including building a system that can be tested later for each time frame beginning at one minute up to a day. From here, one can choose the best. However, this can be very tricky, which is why one should choose to use all possible time frames instead of only one.

The classic Metatrader indicator can produce signals in the figure of one buy or sell for a single time. If you will be using voting based Metatrader indicator, you can blend the signals originating from the different time frames for only one Metatrader indicator, which will stand for the result of the selection of the intervals for buying and selling. To construct a multi time frame Metatrader indicator, there are four stages involved here. First, you will have to define the rules for buying and selling. Next is to generate the signals from the different intervals. Third is to sum up the indicators into a composite Metatrader indicator. The last one is normalization of the indicator, which is done by dividing the calculated sum by the amount of timeframes used.

Using multi time frames for your trading process will allow you to evaluate a currency pair. Therefore, one has the ability to improve his profits. In addition, the trader can identify the support and resistance levels as well as the strong readings for entry and exit. It is important that you understand the essence of multi time frames and how you can benefit with this strategy. The reality is this: there is no perfect model for intervals. However, you can always have an above average approach for time frames.

MULTI-TIMEFRAME METATRADER INDICATORS

Learn more about MULTI-TIMEFRAME METATRADER INDICATORS

MetaTrader Indicator HeikenAshi+

forex indicator

MetaTrader Indicator i-MultiRVI

metatrader indicator

MetaTrader Indicator TREND

forex indicator

Best regards,

BJF Trading Group inc.

A Primer on Andrew’s Pitchfork Application on Forex Trades

July 31st, 2009 No Comments   Posted in metatatrader indicators

Andrew’s Pitchfork is invented by the well-known and celebrated market master, Dr. Alan Hall Andrews. This is a technical indicator that can be used by forex traders as well as those that are involved in the other markets. It can help a trader identify and measure the general cycles that have an effect on the fundamental market activities. There are two different applications in which you can make use of the indicator on your trading technique. These are the approaches in which you can trade within and outside the lines.

metatrader indicators

By Definition

Before we tackle the two approaches, it is vital that you know first what Andrew’s Pitchfork is. Basically, this is called the median line studies and is similar to the support and resistance indicator. The inventor of this believed that the price of the currency in the forex market would descend to the median line almost eighty percent of the time. The remaining 20% is for the change or the fluctuations in the outlook accounting. Thus, the theory states that whether there are changes in the market trend, the overall market performance will remain unaffected. To know that the current trend will be replaced by a new one, the supply and demand elements will shift and the prices of the currencies will drift. These situations are the key to finding the trading opportunities for beginner and experienced forex traders. If you want to increase your chances of getting accurate trades, the Andrew’s Pitchfork indicator will help you win your game.

The Application

Before you use this technical indicator, you are required to classify the highs and lows that appeared on the chart. Now, draw the pivot at the peak and label it. After the pivot, you will need to make out the trough and the peak, which are both at the right side of the pivot. You have now isolated the high and low with the pivot point. This time, you can place the application. It all begins at the first pivot point, which is also the median line. The peak and the trough will be the support and resistance for the trend of the market.

The Two Approaches

As previously stated, there are two approaches which can be applied for the Andrew’s Pitchfork technical indicator. The first one is to trade within the lines. To profit from this strategy, you will need to understand how exactly it works. For instance, your currency pair is USD/GBP and in the indicator, it shows that it has moved away from the median line towards the pitchfork’s top resistance. Considering these indications, a trader will only benefit from it if he places an entry at the uppermost part of the signal line. Of course, rigorous money management will always help along with a correct stop loss strategy. Even as the price of the currency moves toward the median line once again, the momentum will remain downward. This means that there is a great chance of getting close to a profitable position of 1000 pips during the trading process.

On the other hand, to trade outside the lines is yet another approach that you can apply using the technical indicator. Although this is less recurrently used, they are most considered for long term trends. This is a little bit more complicated than the other approach. You have to understand that the theory here states that the price action will descend to the median line but it can also be assumed that the market has decided that there will be a new trend coming. This can lead to losses on the trader’s part. To avoid this, you can add parameters to secure the retracements and close your position early.


Useful Divergence Metatrader indicators

July 20th, 2009 2 Comments   Posted in metatatrader indicators

Before you make use of a Metatrader indicator particularly the divergence indicator, you should first understand what it means when someone speaks of the Metatrader indicator. Basically, this is a series of data points, which can be used by traders who wish to enhance their knowledge in predicting and examining the movements of the forex market especially the currency pairs. Because of the advancement of the technologies today, one can effectively create his own technical indicator. This is important so that a trader will be able to develop his or her own strategies in the forex market.

The divergence indicator is among the most popular indicators for the traders in the forex market. Divergence here pertains to the signal that a reduction is dropping steam. The divergence indicator is currently considered as the strongest most especially if a trader decides to make use of the said indicator with the stochastic divergence ones. Most of the time, the buyers of the currency pairs will purchase the currencies and then they will push the prices into a specific direction even though a lot of traders have already stopped dealing with transactions for the day.

There are a great number of divergence indicators that are present today and among the most widely used are the MACD or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence and the stochastic oscillator. Stochastic is often used to point out whether the currency you are looking at us oversold or even overbought. Often, this is presented in such as way that it is placed on the zero scale up to one hundred percent. You can calculate this with the use of the two lines that can be found on the chart itself. These lines are a representation as to whether a currency is excessively bought or sold. This is believed to be one of the most powerful signals that can be used in trading in the forex market.

Meanwhile, the MACD divergence indicator involves the two lines related to the momentum or the movement of the currency value at a certain period of time. The single line that can be observed from the chart is actually the difference between the 2 exponentials known as the moving averages. You can also see that there is another line that is called the trigger or more commonly known as the signal line. This is the outcome of the exponential of the averages that is taken from the single line difference. Here is an example of a result produced by the MACD divergence indicator:
divergence indicator

You can definitely combine the two divergence indicators and this will help you understand more about the dealings in the forex market. With the stochastic indicator telling you if it is time that you buy the currency pair you are looking out for, the MACD will confirm if you will really have to make a purchase. If it is in a high fractal formation, you should certainly buy the pair. If you want, you can also make use of the stochastic indicator with the Relative Strength Index or the RSI.


Divergence Metatrader Indicators

July 4th, 2009 No Comments   Posted in metatatrader indicators

Before you get to know more about divergence indicators, you should first understand the meaning of a forex Metatrader indicator. This is a sequence of data points that are used by every knowledgeable trader to predict and even examine the movements of the currencies in the forex market. There are now a lot of popular technical indicators today and they grow in number each day because a trader is allowed to develop his own indicator.

With the divergence indicator, this is believed to be the most well known indicator that is being used by the traders today. When we speak of divergence, we are pertaining to the signal that a contraction or a rally is dropping steam. These indicators are even considered as the strongest signals especially when they are used together with stochastic divergence indicators. What happens here is that there are buyers during the last periods of the trades who are pushing the prices of the currencies into a certain direction while a greater number of traders have stopped transacting. This is because they are cautious of the retraction or the correction.

There are certain types of divergence indicators that are extremely popular today. Two of them are the stochastic oscillator and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence or MACD. The former is used to indicate whether the currency is being oversold or overbought and is presented on a scale of zero to one hundred per cent. This is based upon the observations that the indicator has obtained during a specific amount of time particularly on the closing prices. Stochastic is calculated once there are two lines that appear on the chart. They represent if a certain currency value is overbought or reversed. Divergence between the lines of the outcome of the stochastic oscillator as well as the action of the prices is actually a very powerful signal in forex trading.

On the other hand, MACD is an indicator that involves the setting of two lines that are related to the momentum of the currency value. The single line from the MACD chart is the difference between the two exponentials which are moving averages. Another line called the trigger or the signal line is the result of the exponential of the moving average from the difference of the first single line. Whenever the MACD and the lines that are known as the trigger cross each other, a trader can predict that there is a change in trend that will come in the not too distant future.

MACD divergence and stochastic divergence can be combined and this is actually a powerful method that a trader should try. It will also be much more effective if you try different custom indicator combinations using the stochastic and the RSI or the Relative Strength Index. Since stochastic is often used to determine whether it is time for a trader to buy a currency pair, having the MACD on check may lead to potential gains. What you will do here is to examine whether the value of MACD has a high fractal formation. If this turns out to be the case, you should definitely make the purchase as soon as possible. It is inevitable that traders like you will find other ways on how they can make their job easier and with the Metatrader indicators, you will surely discover them one way or the other.

Whatever divergence indicators that you choose to work on simultaneously, you should have a great understanding about their main elements. Since these types of indicators are really powerful, your trading opportunities will increase and in line with this, your gains will mount higher.


Divergence Metatrader Indicator

June 15th, 2009 6 Comments   Posted in Uncategorized

A divergence Metatrader is often believed as the leading indicator that exists today. When a forex trader speaks about this situation, they are referring to the price action analyzed and measured based on the various indicators such as MACD Divergence, CCI, RSI and Stochastic. Others include those relating to other instruments or market measurement like Tick.

Divergence has two types and they are the Regular Divergence or RD and the Hidden Divergence or HD. In the former, the price is making soaring highs even though the indicator is not. Also, when the price is creating lower lows and the indicator is stating otherwise. With HD, the indicator has higher highs whilst the price is not. Once you have recognized these relationships, you will be able to improve your strategy and implement it way better than what you have been doing during the past.

When you really want to determine whether there will be a change of course when it comes to the price patterns, you will need the right indicator too find out. However, there are some who believe that you can do this really well if you have more than one to help you. You can use both the MACD and the stochastic divergence. MACD stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. This indicator specifies fractal divergence using the indicator itself. When there is a divergence that appears connecting the price and MACD, this is an indication that that there is a great chance that the current trend in the forex market is going to end sooner than you expected.

If you want to know whether it is time to buy, then just check if there is a formation of low fractal below the previous one. Also, as a guide to buying, if the MACD value that corresponds to the low fractal formation is higher, then you should purchase the currency you are watching. Whereas, with selling, check if an up fractal is formed on top of the previous one and that the MACD value is below the previous value. In addition to the easy to understand feature, there are a lot of customizable settings that you can modify to make the indicator more useful to you.

When it comes to the stochastic indicators, whenever divergence occurs between stochastic and the price, this means that this is the end of the current trend. You will acquire a signal as to whether it is time to buy or not just like MACD. The team of these two Metatrader indicators works really well because stochastic is the one responsible for comparing the closing price of the stock to the price range for that period of time while MACD is focused on the development of two moving averages converging with and diverging from each other. You will really appreciate the teamwork of these two especially when they are at their fullest potential.

If you want to work with both indicators, you should be able to understand both of their components. What is the most important here is that you comprehend how they will react on various situations. Both MACD and stochastic are powerful tools and gives traders a great opportunity to propose an improved entry point when it comes to up–trending the stocks. Moreover, with downtrend, you will surer that this will reverse itself when you are fishing out for long term holds.


Metatrader Indicators: Can They Really Help?

June 10th, 2009 2 Comments   Posted in Uncategorized

With the rise of popularity of the forex market, many people want to get involved with this kind of business. However, not all people can be professional traders especially those who are not careful. Trading needs to be analyzed and to be able to do so, you have to watch out for the trends in the market that will affect the rise and fall of a currency pair. That is a tiresome job to do and this is one of the reasons why developers have chosen to create forex robots. Now the Metatrader indicators are available also so that you will be able to strategize your plans well.

Metatrader indicators are predefined to create the signals when there is a need for you to buy and sell. They also help in determining the levels of resistance as well as the market support and the trends that will affect your trading. There are a great number of indicators that works well if you use them with your daily charts every week. Indicators have different characteristics and aspects you just need to pick the ones that are vital to your trading style. There are some that displays the value of a currency for a certain period of time. The moving average is known as the average of the price value of the currencies over a period of time.

These averages come in four types: the simple or arithmetic, the exponential, smoothed and linear weighted. MA’s can be calculated through a set of sequential information. Examples of these are the staring and ending prices, peak and the bottom prices as well as the volume of trading. With single MA’s, the prices often have an equivalent value. When it comes to Exponential and the Linear Weighted MA’s, they are more concentrated on the current prices of the currencies.

Metatrader Expert Advisors carry the trading operations for the trader in automated mode. These EA’s are very effective when you use them together with Metatrader Indicators. For the best indicators, you can go to http://iticsoftware.com where you will be able to find more information regarding the latest in the world of forex. There are examples of indicators that a trader can use along with the details of the tool you may choose to use.

Metatrader Indicators are a classic way for traders. They have visual constituents and internal buffers. These features make them work well with the Metatrader platform you have been using. Now you do not have to buy a new system just so you can use the indicator.


Metatrader Indicators: Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

July 31st, 2008 No Comments   Posted in metatatrader indicators

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technical indicator is predefined to generate signals of buying and selling and to distinguish the resistance levels, market support, and market trends. This technical indicator works best at daily charts and on weekly basis.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

Four time intervals of different lengths are used to define the dimensions of parameters. Composing this technical indicator the values of individual lines are based on these intervals:

  • Tenken-sen shows that the average price value during the first time interval is defined as the sum of minimum and maximum within the given time and divides by 2.
  • Kijun-sen shows the average price value during the second time interval.
  • Senkou Span A shows that the middle of the distance between the two previous lines has been shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval.
  • Senkou Span B shows that the average price value during the third time interval has been shifted forward by the value of the second time interval.

Chinkou Span shows that the closing price of the current candle has been shifted towards the back by the value of the second time interval. The distance between the Senkou lines is formulated with another color and this is known as cloud. If the price is between these lines, the cloud margins form the resistance and support levels and then the market should be considered as non-trend.

  • If the price is above the cloud, the first support level forms as its upper line, and the second support level forms as its second line.
  • If the price is below the cloud, the first resistance level forms the lower line, and the second level forms as the upper one.
  • If the Chinkou Span line passes through the price chart in the bottom-up direction then it’s the signal to buy. If the Chinkou Span line passes through the price chart in the top-down direction then it’s the signal to sell.

The technical indicator of the market movement is the Kijun-sen. If the price is above the indicator, than the prices will probably continue to increase, when the price passes through this line the trend, more changes in the trend are possible.

Another kind of giving signals is using the Kijun-sen. When the buy signal is generated then the Tenkan-sen like pass through the Kijun-sen is in the bottom-up direction. The signal to sell is the top-down direction.

The technical indicator of the market trend is the Tenkan-sen. If this Tenken-sen line decreases or increases, the trend exists. When it’s straight, it indicates that the market has come into the channel.